These pollsters were right in 2016 and 2020 — and they think Harris has already lost her mojo
SUMMARY
Polling from InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar shows former President Trump leading in several key battleground states, suggesting a possible electoral path to 296 votes and raising concerns about Vice President Kamala Harris's campaign momentum. InsiderAdvantage's Matt Towery reports Trump is ahead in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina, with a slight deficit in Georgia. Trafalgar’s Robert Calahy finds Trump leading in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan. Both pollsters, noted for their accuracy in 2016 and 2020, attribute Trump’s lead to their methodologies capturing overlooked support. They argue that Harris's initial post-DNC surge has diminished, with enthusiasm and momentum waning. Towery predicts the upcoming presidential debate could be pivotal, akin to the 1980 Carter-Reagan debate. Calahy notes Harris faces a high-stakes situation, potentially losing ground if the debate does not go well, though he cautions that Democratic efforts could narrow Trump's lead by Election Day.
