Trump remains the favorite in 2024 presidential race despite Harris’ rise: Nate Silver
SUMMARY
Despite a notable boost in her campaign, Vice President Kamala Harris remains behind former President Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race, according to Nate Silver’s latest forecast. Silver's model gives Trump a 61.3% chance of winning the Electoral College, while Harris trails at 38.1%. This analysis comes even as Harris's campaign has gained momentum following President Biden’s withdrawal from the race and her subsequent endorsement. Harris leads Trump in the popular vote, with a 53.5% chance compared to Trump's 46.5%. However, Trump retains a slight edge in key battleground states. Silver's model reflects a tightening race, with recent polls showing Trump ahead nationally by about two percentage points.
