20 Million Dem Votes Are Missing From 2020 To 2024. Where’d They Go?
SUMMARY
As vote counts continue to roll in, Donald Trump's substantial lead in the 2024 presidential race raises questions about a striking gap in Democratic support compared to 2020. With 81 million votes cast for Biden in 2020, Harris’s support has fallen short by nearly 20 million votes based on current totals. Of the approximately 138 million total votes counted so far, Trump’s 2024 count is close to his 2020 numbers, suggesting that much of the missing vote count is from the Democratic side. The shortfall is particularly stark in traditionally Democratic strongholds, where Harris’s tallies trail Biden’s 2020 results. On the West Coast, California stands out: even if Harris improves to match Biden’s percentage margin from 2020, she’ll likely still fall around 2 million votes shy of Biden’s 11 million total in the state. The same pattern appears in blue states like New York, Illinois, and New Jersey, where the Harris vote counts remain hundreds of thousands below Biden’s.